Coventry vs Fulham: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Coventry and Fulham on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Fulham travel to Coventry on 24 October 2026 at Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry. Fulham are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 8 fixture in Premier League is listed as Coventry - Fulham. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Coventry: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (92 scored and 39 conceded in 43 matches, 2.14 and 0.91 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.0 out of 100, and they sit 17th on a goal difference of -8.
Fulham: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (41 scored and 49 conceded in 35 matches, 1.17 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Coventry | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 18th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLL | WLDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 12 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 43 | 35 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.14 / 0.91 | 1.17 / 1.4 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.12 | 1.2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.0 | 40.9 |
| Players unavailable | 8 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 36% | 38% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Coventry 43.0 versus Fulham 40.9, a gap of 2.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: Coventry carry the heavier absentee list, eight players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Fulham's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Fulham is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Coventry or Fulham?
Fulham, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 36% Coventry, 26% the draw and 38% Fulham.
When and where is Coventry vs Fulham being played?
24 October 2026 at Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Coventry and Fulham met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Coventry and Fulham?
Coventry have taken 6 points from their last five (LWWLL), Fulham 8 from theirs (WLDWD). Most recently Coventry took a 1-3 defeat away at Tottenham and Fulham a 1-0 win at home to Hull City.
How many goals are expected in Coventry vs Fulham?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.40 for Coventry and 1.60 for Fulham. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists eight players unavailable for Coventry and four for Fulham at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.