Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest — form, head-to-head and match prediction

There is barely anything between Ipswich and Nottingham Forest on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.

The fixture at a glance

Nottingham Forest travel to Ipswich on 23 October 2026 at Portman Road, Ipswich. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 43%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 8 fixture in Premier League is listed as Ipswich - Nottingham Forest. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.

Form analysis and trajectory

Ipswich: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (74 scored and 48 conceded in 45 matches, 1.64 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.0 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -4.

Nottingham Forest: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (70 scored and 63 conceded in 49 matches, 1.43 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -4.

Comparison data

What stands out

• Head-to-head balance (last 2): Ipswich none wins, Nottingham Forest two wins, none draws — an edge to Nottingham Forest.
• Most recent meeting: Ipswich 2-4 Nottingham Forest on 15 March 2025.
• Head-to-head goals: 3.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
• Pre-match form ratings: Ipswich 44.0 versus Nottingham Forest 37.3, a gap of 6.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
• Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
• Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
• Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 15% and both teams to score at 26%.
• First goal: Leans Ipswich's way at 66%.

The call

The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 43%, but the three results sit close to even. Ipswich's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.

Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured to win the match: Ipswich or Nottingham Forest?

Neither side. Our model splits it 42% Ipswich, 43% the draw and 15% Nottingham Forest, with the draw carrying the highest probability.

When and where is Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest being played?

23 October 2026 at Portman Road, Ipswich, kick-off 19:00 UTC.

What was the result of the last match between Ipswich and Nottingham Forest?

Ipswich 2-4 Nottingham Forest on 15 March 2025.

What is the recent form of Ipswich and Nottingham Forest?

Ipswich have taken 6 points from their last five (LWLLW), Nottingham Forest 4 from theirs (LLLWD). Most recently Ipswich took a 2-3 defeat away at Manchester City and Nottingham Forest a 0-1 defeat at home to Arsenal.

How many goals are expected in Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest?

The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 1.20 for Ipswich and 0.20 for Nottingham Forest. It rates over 2.5 goals at 15%.

Will both teams score?

The model rates both teams to score at 26%, so its call is no.