Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Brentford and Nottingham Forest on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Brentford host Nottingham Forest on 31 October 2026 at Gtech Community Stadium, London. Brentford are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 9 fixture in Premier League is listed as Brentford - Nottingham Forest. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Brentford: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (47 scored and 50 conceded in 37 matches, 1.27 and 1.35 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.2 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +5.
Nottingham Forest: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (70 scored and 63 conceded in 49 matches, 1.43 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Brentford | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 18th |
| Goal difference | +5 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLDW | DLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 4 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 37 | 49 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.27 / 1.35 | 1.43 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.3 | 1.39 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.2 | 37.3 |
| Players unavailable | 12 | 8 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 35% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 3 | 3 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Brentford three wins, Nottingham Forest three wins, two draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest on 25 January 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in five of the eight — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Brentford 46.2 versus Nottingham Forest 37.3, a gap of 8.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: Brentford carry the heavier absentee list, twelve players to eight.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Brentford's way at 51%.
The call
The model does not commit. Brentford is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Brentford's way, especially at Gtech Community Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Brentford or Nottingham Forest?
Brentford, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% Brentford, 27% the draw and 35% Nottingham Forest.
When and where is Brentford vs Nottingham Forest being played?
31 October 2026 at Gtech Community Stadium, London, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Brentford and Nottingham Forest?
Brentford 0-2 Nottingham Forest on 25 January 2026.
What is the recent form of Brentford and Nottingham Forest?
Brentford have taken 5 points from their last five (LDLDW), Nottingham Forest 4 from theirs (DLLLW). Most recently Brentford took a 2-3 defeat away at Sunderland and Nottingham Forest a 1-1 draw away at Ipswich.
How many goals are expected in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.60 for Brentford and 0.80 for Nottingham Forest. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists twelve players unavailable for Brentford and eight for Nottingham Forest at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.