Hull City vs Ipswich: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Ipswich the pick at 38% for Hull City vs Ipswich. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Ipswich travel to Hull City on 31 October 2026 at MKM Stadium, Hull. Ipswich are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 9 fixture in Premier League is listed as Hull City - Ipswich. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Hull City: they come in on the back of a draw, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (69 scored and 69 conceded in 46 matches, 1.5 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.2 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of +1.
Ipswich: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (74 scored and 48 conceded in 45 matches, 1.64 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.3 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Hull City | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 12th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDLD | DLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 7 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 46 | 45 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.64 / 1.07 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.52 | 1.73 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.2 | 47.3 |
| Players unavailable | 14 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 38% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Hull City none wins, Ipswich two wins, none draws — an edge to Ipswich.
- Most recent meeting: Ipswich 1-0 Hull City on 03 March 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Hull City 35.2 versus Ipswich 47.3, a gap of 12.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Hull City carry the heavier absentee list, 14 players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Ipswich's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Ipswich at 38%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hull City or Ipswich?
Ipswich, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 31% Hull City, 31% the draw and 38% Ipswich.
When and where is Hull City vs Ipswich being played?
31 October 2026 at MKM Stadium, Hull, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Hull City and Ipswich?
Ipswich 1-0 Hull City on 03 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Hull City and Ipswich?
Hull City have taken 3 points from their last five (DLDLD), Ipswich 4 from theirs (DLWLL). Most recently Hull City took a 1-1 draw at home to Brentford and Ipswich a 1-1 draw at home to Nottingham Forest.
How many goals are expected in Hull City vs Ipswich?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 0.80 for Hull City and 1.80 for Ipswich. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists 14 players unavailable for Hull City and four for Ipswich at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.