Arsenal vs Hull City: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Arsenal the pick at 70% for Arsenal vs Hull City. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Arsenal host Hull City on 7 November 2026 at Emirates Stadium, London. Arsenal are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 70%. This matchday 10 fixture in Premier League is listed as Arsenal - Hull City. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Arsenal: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (116 scored and 39 conceded in 59 matches, 1.97 and 0.66 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +9.
Hull City: they come in on two successive draws, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (69 scored and 69 conceded in 46 matches, 1.5 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.2 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Arsenal | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 11th |
| Goal difference | +9 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDW | DDLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 11 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 3 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 59 | 46 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.97 / 0.66 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.31 | 1.52 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 67.2 | 35.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 70% | 8% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Arsenal 67.2 versus Hull City 35.2, a gap of 32.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Arsenal's way at 73%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Arsenal at 70%, a gap of 49 percentage points to the next outcome. Arsenal's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Arsenal's way, especially at Emirates Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Arsenal or Hull City?
Arsenal, with an implied win probability of roughly 70%. The full split is 70% Arsenal, 22% the draw and 8% Hull City.
When and where is Arsenal vs Hull City being played?
7 November 2026 at Emirates Stadium, London, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Arsenal and Hull City met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Arsenal and Hull City?
Arsenal have taken 11 points from their last five (WDWDW), Hull City 3 from theirs (DDLDL). Most recently Arsenal took a 1-0 win away at Liverpool and Hull City a 2-2 draw at home to Ipswich.
How many goals are expected in Arsenal vs Hull City?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for Arsenal and 1.00 for Hull City. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.