Crystal Palace vs Liverpool — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Liverpool the pick at 51% for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Crystal Palace host Liverpool on 8 November 2026 at Selhurst Park, London. Liverpool are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 10 fixture in Premier League is listed as Crystal Palace - Liverpool. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Crystal Palace: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 16 conceded in eight matches, 1.38 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.3 out of 100, and they sit 18th on a goal difference of -12.
Liverpool: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 4 conceded in seven matches, 1.43 and 0.57 per game) points to a side built on keeping the game tight rather than winning it early. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.5 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Crystal Palace | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 18th | 5th |
| Goal difference | -12 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLDL | LDWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 11 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.38 / 2.0 | 1.43 / 0.57 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.25 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.3 | 55.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 21% | 51% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 8) | 2 | 3 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 8): Crystal Palace two wins, Liverpool three wins, three draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace on 25 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in five of the eight — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Crystal Palace 35.3 versus Liverpool 55.5, a gap of 20.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 13 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Liverpool's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Liverpool at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Liverpool's stronger recent metrics back it, the goals line points to over 2.5 goals and draw probability stays material given the head-to-head draw rate.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Crystal Palace or Liverpool?
Liverpool, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 21% Crystal Palace, 28% the draw and 51% Liverpool.
When and where is Crystal Palace vs Liverpool being played?
8 November 2026 at Selhurst Park, London, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Crystal Palace and Liverpool?
Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Liverpool?
Crystal Palace have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLDL), Liverpool 10 from theirs (LDWWW). Most recently Crystal Palace took a 0-2 defeat away at Tottenham and Liverpool a 0-1 defeat at home to Arsenal.
How many goals are expected in Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.60 for Crystal Palace and 1.20 for Liverpool. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.