Everton vs Coventry: match summary, form and prediction
Everton host Coventry with a season still short of where it should be — 14th in Premier League and searching for consistency. Form, comparison data, head-to-head and our model's read.
Match summary
Coventry travel to Everton on 6 November 2026 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Everton are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 10 fixture in Premier League is listed as Everton - Coventry. Kick-off is 20:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Everton: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (43 scored and 42 conceded in 33 matches, 1.3 and 1.27 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.4 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -1. For a club of Everton's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Coventry: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (92 scored and 39 conceded in 43 matches, 2.14 and 0.91 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.2 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Everton | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLDW | WLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 7 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 33 | 43 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.3 / 1.27 | 2.14 / 0.91 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.3 | 2.12 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.4 | 53.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 33% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Everton 41.4 versus Coventry 53.2, a gap of 11.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Big club, bad season: Everton are 14th with a goal difference of -1 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Everton's way at 48%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Everton at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Coventry's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Everton's way, especially at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Everton or Coventry?
Everton, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Everton, 27% the draw and 33% Coventry.
When and where is Everton vs Coventry being played?
6 November 2026 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Have Everton and Coventry met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Everton and Coventry?
Everton have taken 7 points from their last five (WLLDW), Coventry 9 from theirs (WLLWW). Most recently Everton took a 3-1 win at home to Newcastle and Coventry a 3-1 win at home to Sunderland.
How many goals are expected in Everton vs Coventry?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for Everton and 1.40 for Coventry. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.