Ipswich vs Bournemouth: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Bournemouth the pick at 57% for Ipswich vs Bournemouth. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Ipswich face Bournemouth on 8 November 2026 at Portman Road, Ipswich. Bournemouth are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This matchday 10 fixture in Premier League is listed as Ipswich - Bournemouth. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ipswich: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (74 scored and 48 conceded in 45 matches, 1.64 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.7 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -4.
Bournemouth: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (52 scored and 44 conceded in 34 matches, 1.53 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.2 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ipswich | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLWL | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 8 | 13 / 0 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 5 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 45 | 34 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.64 / 1.07 | 1.53 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.73 | 1.62 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.7 | 55.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 18% | 57% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Ipswich one win, Bournemouth one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich on 02 April 2025.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Ipswich 40.7 versus Bournemouth 55.2, a gap of 14.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Bournemouth's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Bournemouth at 57%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. Bournemouth's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ipswich or Bournemouth?
Bournemouth, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 18% Ipswich, 25% the draw and 57% Bournemouth.
When and where is Ipswich vs Bournemouth being played?
8 November 2026 at Portman Road, Ipswich, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ipswich and Bournemouth?
Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich on 02 April 2025.
What is the recent form of Ipswich and Bournemouth?
Ipswich have taken 5 points from their last five (DDLWL), Bournemouth 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Ipswich took a 2-2 draw away at Hull City and Bournemouth a 2-0 win at home to Leeds.
How many goals are expected in Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 1.60 for Ipswich and 2.60 for Bournemouth. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.