Leeds vs Tottenham: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Tottenham the pick at 39% for Leeds vs Tottenham. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Leeds host Tottenham on 7 November 2026 at Elland Road, Leeds. Tottenham are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 10 fixture in Premier League is listed as Leeds - Tottenham. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Leeds: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (46 scored and 54 conceded in 37 matches, 1.24 and 1.46 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of +1.
Tottenham: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (78 scored and 67 conceded in 49 matches, 1.59 and 1.37 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Leeds | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 9th |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLD | WWWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 5 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 37 | 49 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.24 / 1.46 | 1.59 / 1.37 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.19 | 1.45 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.2 | 58.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 39% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 4) | 0 | 3 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 4): Leeds none wins, Tottenham three wins, one draw — an edge to Tottenham.
- Most recent meeting: Tottenham 1-1 Leeds on 11 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.25 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Leeds 35.2 versus Tottenham 58.3, a gap of 23.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Tottenham's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Tottenham at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Tottenham's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Leeds or Tottenham?
Tottenham, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 34% Leeds, 26% the draw and 39% Tottenham.
When and where is Leeds vs Tottenham being played?
7 November 2026 at Elland Road, Leeds, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Leeds and Tottenham?
Tottenham 1-1 Leeds on 11 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Leeds and Tottenham?
Leeds have taken 3 points from their last five (LDDLD), Tottenham 10 from theirs (WWWDL). Most recently Leeds took a 0-2 defeat away at Bournemouth and Tottenham a 2-0 win at home to Crystal Palace.
How many goals are expected in Leeds vs Tottenham?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.60 for Leeds and 1.00 for Tottenham. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.