Genk vs Gent: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Genk and Gent on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Gent travel to Genk on 13 September 2026 at Cegeka Arena, Genk. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 44%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 6 fixture in Jupiler Pro League is listed as Genk - Gent. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Genk: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (55 scored and 43 conceded in 33 matches, 1.67 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +4.
Gent: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 26 conceded in 20 matches, 1.15 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 77.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Genk | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWDWL | WWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 8 | 9 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 33 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.67 / 1.3 | 1.15 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.7 | 1.15 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.7 | 77.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 13% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Genk 52.7 versus Gent 77.0, a gap of 24.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.87, over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Genk's way at 60%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 44%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Genk or Gent?
Neither side. Our model splits it 43% Genk, 44% the draw and 13% Gent, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Genk vs Gent being played?
13 September 2026 at Cegeka Arena, Genk, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Genk and Gent?
Gent 1-1 Genk on 31 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Genk and Gent?
Genk have taken 8 points from their last five (DWDWL), Gent 13 from theirs (WWWWD). Most recently Genk took a 0-0 draw away at Anderlecht and Gent a 3-0 win away at Cercle Brugge.
How many goals are expected in Genk vs Gent?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.87 — 2.20 for Genk and 0.67 for Gent. It rates over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.