Antwerp vs Charleroi: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Charleroi the pick at 47% for Antwerp vs Charleroi. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Antwerp host Charleroi on 24 October 2026 at Bosuilstadion. Charleroi are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 9 fixture in Jupiler Pro League is listed as Antwerp - Charleroi. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Antwerp: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 26 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.37 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.0 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -8.
Charleroi: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 23 conceded in 19 matches, 1.42 and 1.21 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Antwerp | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -8 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLL | WWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 11 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 19 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.11 / 1.37 | 1.42 / 1.21 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.16 | 1.47 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.0 | 67.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 27% | 47% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 0 | 3 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Antwerp none wins, Charleroi three wins, none draws — an edge to Charleroi.
- Most recent meeting: Antwerp 0-1 Charleroi on 10 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: Antwerp 23.0 versus Charleroi 67.2, a gap of 44.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Charleroi's way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to Charleroi at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Charleroi's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Antwerp or Charleroi?
Charleroi, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 27% Antwerp, 25% the draw and 47% Charleroi.
When and where is Antwerp vs Charleroi being played?
24 October 2026 at Bosuilstadion, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Antwerp and Charleroi?
Antwerp 0-1 Charleroi on 10 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Antwerp and Charleroi?
Antwerp have taken 3 points from their last five (WLLLL), Charleroi 12 from theirs (WWWWL). Most recently Antwerp took a 1-0 win away at Heist and Charleroi a 1-0 win away at Albert Quévy-Mons.
How many goals are expected in Antwerp vs Charleroi?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.00 for Antwerp and 1.80 for Charleroi. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.