OH Leuven vs Lommel United — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between OH Leuven and Lommel United on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
OH Leuven host Lommel United on 24 October 2026 at Den Dreef, Heverlee. OH Leuven are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 9 fixture in Jupiler Pro League is listed as OH Leuven - Lommel United. Kick-off is 16:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
OH Leuven: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 30 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.58 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 39.7 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -8.
Lommel United: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 5 conceded in six matches, 2.33 and 0.83 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.3 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | OH Leuven | Lommel United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -8 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDL | LWWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 19 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.11 / 1.58 | 2.33 / 0.83 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.05 | 2.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 39.7 | 48.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 35% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: OH Leuven 39.7 versus Lommel United 48.3, a gap of 8.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.20, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans OH Leuven's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. OH Leuven is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts OH Leuven's way, especially at Den Dreef.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: OH Leuven or Lommel United?
OH Leuven, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% OH Leuven, 26% the draw and 35% Lommel United.
When and where is OH Leuven vs Lommel United being played?
24 October 2026 at Den Dreef, Heverlee, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
Have OH Leuven and Lommel United met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of OH Leuven and Lommel United?
OH Leuven have taken 8 points from their last five (WDWDL), Lommel United 7 from theirs (LWWDL). Most recently OH Leuven took a 1-0 win at home to Francs Borains and Lommel United a 1-4 defeat away at St. Truiden.
How many goals are expected in OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.20 — 0.40 for OH Leuven and 0.80 for Lommel United. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.