Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Charleroi the pick at 70% for Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
RAAL La Louvière travel to Charleroi on 1 November 2026 at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi. Charleroi are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 70%. This matchday 10 fixture in Jupiler Pro League is listed as Charleroi - RAAL La Louvière. Kick-off is 18:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Charleroi: they come in on the back of a defeat, following four wins before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 23 conceded in 19 matches, 1.42 and 1.21 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +6.
RAAL La Louvière: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 25 conceded in 13 matches, 1.31 and 1.92 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.2 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Charleroi | RAAL La Louvière |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 14th |
| Goal difference | +6 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWW | WWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 12 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 19 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.42 / 1.21 | 1.31 / 1.92 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.47 | 0.77 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.5 | 43.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 70% | 13% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Charleroi 56.5 versus RAAL La Louvière 43.2, a gap of 13.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Ten places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Charleroi's way at 68%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Charleroi at 70%, a gap of 53 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Charleroi's way, especially at Stade du Pays de Charleroi.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Charleroi or RAAL La Louvière?
Charleroi, with an implied win probability of roughly 70%. The full split is 70% Charleroi, 17% the draw and 13% RAAL La Louvière.
When and where is Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière being played?
1 November 2026 at Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
Have Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière?
Charleroi have taken 12 points from their last five (LWWWW), RAAL La Louvière 9 from theirs (WWLWL). Most recently Charleroi took a 0-3 defeat away at Antwerp and RAAL La Louvière a 3-0 win at home to Zulte Waregem.
How many goals are expected in Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.60 for Charleroi and 2.20 for RAAL La Louvière. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.