Lommel United vs Gent: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Lommel United and Gent on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Lommel United host Gent on 1 November 2026 at Soevereinstadion, Lommel. Gent are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This matchday 10 fixture in Jupiler Pro League is listed as Lommel United - Gent. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Lommel United: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 5 conceded in six matches, 2.33 and 0.83 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.7 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Gent: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 26 conceded in 20 matches, 1.15 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 72.1 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +15.
Side by side
| Statistic | Lommel United | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | 0 | +15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWWD | WLDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 10 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 6 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 2.33 / 0.83 | 1.15 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2025) | 2.67 | 1.15 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.7 | 72.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 38% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Lommel United 41.7 versus Gent 72.1, a gap of 30.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Gent's way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. Gent is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Lommel United or Gent?
Gent, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 37% Lommel United, 25% the draw and 38% Gent.
When and where is Lommel United vs Gent being played?
1 November 2026 at Soevereinstadion, Lommel, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Lommel United and Gent met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Lommel United and Gent?
Lommel United have taken 8 points from their last five (DLWWD), Gent 10 from theirs (WLDWW). Most recently Lommel United took a 2-2 draw away at OH Leuven and Gent a 4-0 win at home to Anderlecht.
How many goals are expected in Lommel United vs Gent?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.60 for Lommel United and 1.80 for Gent. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.