St. Truiden vs OH Leuven match summary and prediction — Jupiler Pro League
Our model makes St. Truiden the pick at 60% for St. Truiden vs OH Leuven. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
St. Truiden host OH Leuven on 1 November 2026 at Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden. St. Truiden are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This matchday 10 fixture in Jupiler Pro League is listed as St. Truiden - OH Leuven. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
St. Truiden: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 22 conceded in 20 matches, 1.5 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.5 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -2.
OH Leuven: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 30 conceded in 19 matches, 1.11 and 1.58 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.0 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | St. Truiden | OH Leuven |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWWL | DWDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 8 | 7 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.11 / 1.58 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.6 | 1.05 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.5 | 43.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 18% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: St. Truiden 34.5 versus OH Leuven 43.0, a gap of 8.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans St. Truiden's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards St. Truiden at 60%, a gap of 38 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts St. Truiden's way, especially at Daio Wasabi Stayen.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: St. Truiden or OH Leuven?
St. Truiden, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% St. Truiden, 22% the draw and 18% OH Leuven.
When and where is St. Truiden vs OH Leuven being played?
1 November 2026 at Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have St. Truiden and OH Leuven met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of St. Truiden and OH Leuven?
St. Truiden have taken 9 points from their last five (LWWWL), OH Leuven 9 from theirs (DWDWD). Most recently St. Truiden took a 2-3 defeat away at Club Brugge KV and OH Leuven a 2-2 draw at home to Lommel United.
How many goals are expected in St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.40 for St. Truiden and 0.80 for OH Leuven. It rates over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.