St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes St. Truiden the pick at 55% for St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
St. Truiden face Zulte Waregem on 8 November 2026 at Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden. St. Truiden are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 11 fixture in Jupiler Pro League is listed as St. Truiden - Zulte Waregem. Kick-off is 18:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
St. Truiden: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 22 conceded in 20 matches, 1.5 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.2 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -3.
Zulte Waregem: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 16 conceded in 13 matches, 1.62 and 1.23 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.0 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | St. Truiden | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWW | LLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 6 | 6 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 20 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.62 / 1.23 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.6 | 1.69 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.2 | 24.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 24% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans St. Truiden's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards St. Truiden at 55%, a gap of 31 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts St. Truiden's way, especially at Daio Wasabi Stayen.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: St. Truiden or Zulte Waregem?
St. Truiden, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% St. Truiden, 21% the draw and 24% Zulte Waregem.
When and where is St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem being played?
8 November 2026 at Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
Have St. Truiden and Zulte Waregem met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of St. Truiden and Zulte Waregem?
St. Truiden have taken 9 points from their last five (LLWWW), Zulte Waregem 3 from theirs (LLWLL). Most recently St. Truiden took a 1-2 defeat at home to OH Leuven and Zulte Waregem a 2-4 defeat at home to Club Brugge KV.
How many goals are expected in St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for St. Truiden and 1.20 for Zulte Waregem. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.