KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Charleroi the pick at 43% for KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Charleroi travel to KVC Westerlo on 7 November 2026 at Het Kuipje, Westerlo. Charleroi are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 11 fixture in Jupiler Pro League is listed as KVC Westerlo - Charleroi. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
KVC Westerlo: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 24 conceded in 16 matches, 1.12 and 1.5 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Charleroi: they come in on the back of a win, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 23 conceded in 19 matches, 1.42 and 1.21 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +9.
Side by side
| Statistic | KVC Westerlo | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 4th |
| Goal difference | 0 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWW | WLWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 14 / 9 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 19 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.12 / 1.5 | 1.42 / 1.21 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.31 | 1.47 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.3 | 67.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 43% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 2 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): KVC Westerlo two wins, Charleroi none wins, none draws — an edge to KVC Westerlo.
- Most recent meeting: Charleroi 0-1 KVC Westerlo on 16 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 1.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: KVC Westerlo 58.3 versus Charleroi 67.2, a gap of 8.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Charleroi's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Charleroi at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: KVC Westerlo or Charleroi?
Charleroi, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 35% KVC Westerlo, 22% the draw and 43% Charleroi.
When and where is KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi being played?
7 November 2026 at Het Kuipje, Westerlo, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between KVC Westerlo and Charleroi?
Charleroi 0-1 KVC Westerlo on 16 May 2026.
What is the recent form of KVC Westerlo and Charleroi?
KVC Westerlo have taken 10 points from their last five (LDWWW), Charleroi 12 from theirs (WLWWW). Most recently KVC Westerlo took a 1-4 defeat away at Anderlecht and Charleroi a 5-2 win at home to RAAL La Louvière.
How many goals are expected in KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 2.80 for KVC Westerlo and 2.20 for Charleroi. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.