Dender vs KRC Genk II: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Dender the pick at 54% for Dender vs KRC Genk II. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
KRC Genk II travel to Dender on 1 November 2026 at Stade Van Roy, Denderleeuw. Dender are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 9 fixture in Challenger Pro League is listed as Dender - KRC Genk II. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Dender: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and one defeat from the last four, worth 9 points. Across those four they scored ten and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 77.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +9.
KRC Genk II: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Dender | KRC Genk II |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 11th |
| Goal difference | +9 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWW | DLDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 2 | 5 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 77.2 | 40.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 18% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Dender 77.2 versus KRC Genk II 40.9, a gap of 36.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Dender's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to Dender at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Dender's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Dender's way, especially at Stade Van Roy.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dender or KRC Genk II?
Dender, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Dender, 27% the draw and 18% KRC Genk II.
When and where is Dender vs KRC Genk II being played?
1 November 2026 at Stade Van Roy, Denderleeuw, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Dender and KRC Genk II met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Dender and KRC Genk II?
Dender have taken 9 points from their last four (LWWW), KRC Genk II 5 from theirs (DLDLW). Most recently Dender took a 0-2 defeat away at Standard Liege and KRC Genk II a 0-0 draw at home to Club Brugge II.
How many goals are expected in Dender vs KRC Genk II?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.20 for Dender and 1.00 for KRC Genk II. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.