KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes K. Lierse S.K. the pick at 43% for KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
KAA Gent II host K. Lierse S.K. on 30 October 2026 at Planet Group Arena, Gent. K. Lierse S.K. are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 9 fixture in Challenger Pro League is listed as KAA Gent II - K. Lierse S.K. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
KAA Gent II: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.7 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -4.
K. Lierse S.K.: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Across those four they scored six and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.4 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | KAA Gent II | K. Lierse S.K. |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 10th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDLD | WLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 9 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.7 | 51.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 43% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: KAA Gent II 40.7 versus K. Lierse S.K. 51.4, a gap of 10.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.17, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans KAA Gent II's way at 47%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards K. Lierse S.K. at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. KAA Gent II's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: KAA Gent II or K. Lierse S.K.?
K. Lierse S.K., with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 35% KAA Gent II, 22% the draw and 43% K. Lierse S.K.
When and where is KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. being played?
30 October 2026 at Planet Group Arena, Gent, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have KAA Gent II and K. Lierse S.K. met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of KAA Gent II and K. Lierse S.K.?
KAA Gent II have taken 5 points from their last five (LWDLD), K. Lierse S.K. 4 from theirs (WLLD). Most recently KAA Gent II took a 0-2 defeat away at Lokeren-Temse and K. Lierse S.K. a 3-0 win at home to Francs Borains.
How many goals are expected in KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K.?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.17 — 0.67 for KAA Gent II and 0.50 for K. Lierse S.K. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.