K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes AS Eupen the pick at 43% for K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
K. Lierse S.K. face AS Eupen on 8 November 2026 at Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier. AS Eupen are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 10 fixture in Challenger Pro League is listed as K. Lierse S.K. - AS Eupen. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
K. Lierse S.K.: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -3.
AS Eupen: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two wins before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored eight and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.5 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +6.
Side by side
| Statistic | K. Lierse S.K. | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLD | LLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 8 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 56.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 27% | 43% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: K. Lierse S.K. 40.9 versus AS Eupen 56.5, a gap of 15.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.58, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans AS Eupen's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards AS Eupen at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: K. Lierse S.K. or AS Eupen?
AS Eupen, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 27% K. Lierse S.K., 30% the draw and 43% AS Eupen.
When and where is K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen being played?
8 November 2026 at Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have K. Lierse S.K. and AS Eupen met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of K. Lierse S.K. and AS Eupen?
K. Lierse S.K. have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLLD), AS Eupen 6 from theirs (LLLWW). Most recently K. Lierse S.K. took a 0-2 defeat away at KAA Gent II and AS Eupen a 1-2 defeat at home to Excelsior Virton.
How many goals are expected in K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.58 — 0.33 for K. Lierse S.K. and 1.25 for AS Eupen. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.