Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA: the numbers, the form and our prediction
There is barely anything between Excelsior Virton and Beerschot VA on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Excelsior Virton host Beerschot VA on 7 November 2026 at Stade Yvan Georges, Virton. Excelsior Virton are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 10 fixture in Challenger Pro League is listed as Excelsior Virton - Beerschot VA. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Excelsior Virton: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored nine and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.3 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +4.
Beerschot VA: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 17 and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 79.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +16.
Side by side
| Statistic | Excelsior Virton | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 1st |
| Goal difference | +4 | +16 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLW | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 10 | 17 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 49.3 | 79.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 37% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Excelsior Virton 49.3 versus Beerschot VA 79.0, a gap of 29.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.60, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Beerschot VA's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. Excelsior Virton is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Excelsior Virton's way, especially at Stade Yvan Georges.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Excelsior Virton or Beerschot VA?
Excelsior Virton, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Excelsior Virton, 24% the draw and 37% Beerschot VA.
When and where is Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA being played?
7 November 2026 at Stade Yvan Georges, Virton, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Excelsior Virton and Beerschot VA met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Excelsior Virton and Beerschot VA?
Excelsior Virton have taken 6 points from their last five (WLLLW), Beerschot VA 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Excelsior Virton took a 2-1 win away at AS Eupen and Beerschot VA a 3-0 win at home to Francs Borains.
How many goals are expected in Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.60 — 2.00 for Excelsior Virton and 2.60 for Beerschot VA. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.