FK Jablonec vs Zlin match summary and prediction — Czech Liga
Our model makes FK Jablonec the pick at 74% for FK Jablonec vs Zlin. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FK Jablonec face Zlin on 20 September 2026 at Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou. FK Jablonec are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 74%. This matchday 9 fixture in Czech Liga is listed as FK Jablonec - Zlin. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FK Jablonec: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 27 conceded in 15 matches, 1.07 and 1.8 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +2.
Zlin: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 32 conceded in 15 matches, 0.93 and 2.13 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.2 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -11.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FK Jablonec | Zlin |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 16th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLDL | LLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 7 | 6 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 15 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.07 / 1.8 | 0.93 / 2.13 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.13 | 0.8 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.8 | 22.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 74% | 4% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: FK Jablonec 38.8 versus Zlin 22.2, a gap of 16.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.67, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 27%.
- First goal: Leans FK Jablonec's way at 78%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards FK Jablonec at 74%, a gap of 52 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FK Jablonec's way, especially at Stadion Strelnice.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FK Jablonec or Zlin?
FK Jablonec, with an implied win probability of roughly 74%. The full split is 74% FK Jablonec, 22% the draw and 4% Zlin.
When and where is FK Jablonec vs Zlin being played?
20 September 2026 at Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FK Jablonec and Zlin?
Zlin 0-3 FK Jablonec on 04 April 2026.
What is the recent form of FK Jablonec and Zlin?
FK Jablonec have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLDL), Zlin 3 from theirs (LLLWL). Most recently FK Jablonec took a 0-2 defeat away at Sparta Praha and Zlin a 1-2 defeat at home to Hradec Králové.
How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec vs Zlin?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.67 — 1.00 for FK Jablonec and 1.67 for Zlin. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 27%, so its call is no.