Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Slavia Praha the pick at 65% for Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Mlada Boleslav travel to Slavia Praha on 24 October 2026 at Sinobo Stadium, Prague. Slavia Praha are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 65%. This matchday 12 fixture in Czech Liga is listed as Slavia Praha - Mlada Boleslav. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Slavia Praha: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (40 scored and 42 conceded in 30 matches, 1.33 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 73.3 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +20.
Mlada Boleslav: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 16 conceded in 14 matches, 1.57 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Slavia Praha | Mlada Boleslav |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 4th |
| Goal difference | +20 | +5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLWW | WLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 30 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.33 / 1.4 | 1.57 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 73.3 | 46.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 65% | 15% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Slavia Praha 73.3 versus Mlada Boleslav 46.2, a gap of 27.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.20, over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Slavia Praha's way at 66%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Slavia Praha at 65%, a gap of 45 percentage points to the next outcome. Mlada Boleslav's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Slavia Praha's way, especially at Sinobo Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Slavia Praha or Mlada Boleslav?
Slavia Praha, with an implied win probability of roughly 65%. The full split is 65% Slavia Praha, 20% the draw and 15% Mlada Boleslav.
When and where is Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav being played?
24 October 2026 at Sinobo Stadium, Prague, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav?
Slavia Praha 4-0 Mlada Boleslav on 07 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav?
Slavia Praha have taken 8 points from their last five (DDLWW), Mlada Boleslav 9 from theirs (WLLWW). Most recently Slavia Praha took a 2-2 draw away at Fenerbahçe and Mlada Boleslav a 1-0 win at home to Teplice.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.20 — 2.80 for Slavia Praha and 2.40 for Mlada Boleslav. It rates over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.