Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha match summary and prediction — Czech Liga
Our model makes Sparta Praha the pick at 40% for Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bohemians 1905 host Sparta Praha on 1 November 2026 at Dolicek Stadium, Prague. Sparta Praha are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in Czech Liga is listed as Bohemians 1905 - Sparta Praha. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Bohemians 1905: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and one draw before that. That is two wins, one draw and one defeat from the last four, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 1.17 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.3 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of 0.
Sparta Praha: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 11 conceded in nine matches, 1.44 and 1.22 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 71.3 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bohemians 1905 | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | 0 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWW | LWLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.17 / 1.0 | 1.44 / 1.22 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.5 | 1.44 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.3 | 71.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 40% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Bohemians 1905 58.3 versus Sparta Praha 71.3, a gap of 13.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Sparta Praha's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Sparta Praha at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bohemians 1905 or Sparta Praha?
Sparta Praha, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 32% Bohemians 1905, 28% the draw and 40% Sparta Praha.
When and where is Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha being played?
1 November 2026 at Dolicek Stadium, Prague, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Bohemians 1905 and Sparta Praha?
Bohemians 1905 2-0 Sparta Praha on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Bohemians 1905 and Sparta Praha?
Bohemians 1905 have taken 7 points from their last four (LDWW), Sparta Praha 5 from theirs (LWLDD). Most recently Bohemians 1905 took a 2-3 defeat away at Mlada Boleslav and Sparta Praha a 0-2 defeat at home to Baník Ostrava.
How many goals are expected in Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Bohemians 1905 and 1.60 for Sparta Praha. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.