Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Zbrojovka Brno the pick at 48% for Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Baník Ostrava travel to Zbrojovka Brno on 7 November 2026. Zbrojovka Brno are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 14 fixture in Czech Liga is listed as Zbrojovka Brno - Baník Ostrava. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Zbrojovka Brno: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 13 conceded in eight matches, 1.0 and 1.62 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.6 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -3.
Baník Ostrava: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and two defeats from the last four, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (2 scored and 19 conceded in seven matches, 0.29 and 2.71 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.9 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -15.
Side by side
| Statistic | Zbrojovka Brno | Baník Ostrava |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 13th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWL | LWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 11 | 2 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.62 | 0.29 / 2.71 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.38 | 0.14 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.6 | 27.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Zbrojovka Brno 37.6 versus Baník Ostrava 27.9, a gap of 9.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Zbrojovka Brno's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Zbrojovka Brno at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Zbrojovka Brno or Baník Ostrava?
Zbrojovka Brno, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Zbrojovka Brno, 23% the draw and 29% Baník Ostrava.
When and where is Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Zbrojovka Brno and Baník Ostrava met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Zbrojovka Brno and Baník Ostrava?
Zbrojovka Brno have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDWL), Baník Ostrava 4 from theirs (LWDL). Most recently Zbrojovka Brno took a 0-3 defeat away at Sigma Olomouc and Baník Ostrava a 0-4 defeat at home to Plzen.
How many goals are expected in Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 1.20 for Zbrojovka Brno and 0.20 for Baník Ostrava. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.