FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav match summary and prediction — Czech Liga
Our model makes FK Jablonec the pick at 41% for FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FK Jablonec face Mlada Boleslav on 8 November 2026 at Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou. FK Jablonec are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 14 fixture in Czech Liga is listed as FK Jablonec - Mlada Boleslav. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FK Jablonec: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 16 conceded in 13 matches, 1.38 and 1.23 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -2.
Mlada Boleslav: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 9 conceded in seven matches, 2.29 and 1.29 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.1 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | FK Jablonec | Mlada Boleslav |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -2 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDLL | WWDWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 12 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 13 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.38 / 1.23 | 2.29 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.77 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.8 | 50.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 33% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FK Jablonec 47.8 versus Mlada Boleslav 50.1, a gap of 2.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans FK Jablonec's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards FK Jablonec at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Mlada Boleslav's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts FK Jablonec's way, especially at Stadion Strelnice.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FK Jablonec or Mlada Boleslav?
FK Jablonec, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% FK Jablonec, 26% the draw and 33% Mlada Boleslav.
When and where is FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav being played?
8 November 2026 at Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between FK Jablonec and Mlada Boleslav?
Mlada Boleslav 3-0 FK Jablonec on 28 February 2026.
What is the recent form of FK Jablonec and Mlada Boleslav?
FK Jablonec have taken 4 points from their last five (LWDLL), Mlada Boleslav 10 from theirs (WWDWL). Most recently FK Jablonec took a 0-5 defeat at home to Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav a 3-1 win at home to Hradec Králové.
How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 0.80 for FK Jablonec and 2.00 for Mlada Boleslav. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.