Plzen vs Sparta Praha — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Plzen the pick at 41% for Plzen vs Sparta Praha. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Plzen face Sparta Praha on 8 November 2026 at Doosan Arena, Plzen. Plzen are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 14 fixture in Czech Liga is listed as Plzen - Sparta Praha. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Plzen: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 15 conceded in nine matches, 2.22 and 1.67 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +7.
Sparta Praha: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 11 conceded in ten matches, 1.3 and 1.1 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 64.7 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Plzen | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 4th |
| Goal difference | +7 | +12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLW | DLWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 15 / 7 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.22 / 1.67 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.33 | 1.4 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.8 | 64.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 31% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Plzen 56.8 versus Sparta Praha 64.7, a gap of 7.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Plzen's way at 49%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Plzen at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Plzen's way, especially at Doosan Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Plzen or Sparta Praha?
Plzen, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Plzen, 28% the draw and 31% Sparta Praha.
When and where is Plzen vs Sparta Praha being played?
8 November 2026 at Doosan Arena, Plzen, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Plzen and Sparta Praha?
Sparta Praha 0-0 Plzen on 12 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Plzen and Sparta Praha?
Plzen have taken 9 points from their last five (WWLLW), Sparta Praha 5 from theirs (DLWLD). Most recently Plzen took a 4-0 win away at Baník Ostrava and Sparta Praha a 0-0 draw away at Bohemians 1905.
How many goals are expected in Plzen vs Sparta Praha?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 2.20 for Plzen and 1.40 for Sparta Praha. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.