Teplice vs Pardubice: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Teplice the pick at 50% for Teplice vs Pardubice. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Teplice host Pardubice on 8 November 2026 at AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice. Teplice are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 14 fixture in Czech Liga is listed as Teplice - Pardubice. Kick-off is 12:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Teplice: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 9 conceded in six matches, 2.0 and 1.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +3.
Pardubice: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 10 conceded in seven matches, 1.0 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 54.0 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Teplice | Pardubice |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 12th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDLD | LWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 4 | 10 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.0 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 1.43 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.83 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.4 | 54.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 25% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Teplice 52.4 versus Pardubice 54.0, a gap of 1.6, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Teplice's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Teplice at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Teplice's way, especially at AGC Arena Na Stinadlech.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Teplice or Pardubice?
Teplice, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Teplice, 25% the draw and 25% Pardubice.
When and where is Teplice vs Pardubice being played?
8 November 2026 at AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice, kick-off 12:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Teplice and Pardubice?
Pardubice 1-1 Teplice on 28 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Teplice and Pardubice?
Teplice have taken 5 points from their last five (WLDLD), Pardubice 9 from theirs (LWWWL). Most recently Teplice took a 3-1 win away at Slovácko and Pardubice a 1-2 defeat at home to Slovan Liberec.
How many goals are expected in Teplice vs Pardubice?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 2.20 for Teplice and 1.20 for Pardubice. It rates over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.