Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Ujpest the pick at 54% for Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Zalaegerszegi TE travel to Ujpest on 20 September 2026 at Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest. Ujpest are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 8 fixture in NB I is listed as Ujpest - Zalaegerszegi TE. Kick-off is 12:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ujpest: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 22 conceded in twelve matches, 0.83 and 1.83 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +3.
Zalaegerszegi TE: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 13 conceded in ten matches, 1.3 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ujpest | Zalaegerszegi TE |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 12th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWLD | WWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 12 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.83 / 1.83 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Points per game (2025) | 0.92 | 1.7 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.4 | 32.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 54% | 9% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Ujpest 52.4 versus Zalaegerszegi TE 32.8, a gap of 19.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 87% and both teams to score at 64%.
- First goal: Leans Ujpest's way at 64%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Ujpest at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Ujpest's way, especially at Szusza Ferenc Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ujpest or Zalaegerszegi TE?
Ujpest, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% Ujpest, 37% the draw and 9% Zalaegerszegi TE.
When and where is Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE being played?
20 September 2026 at Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest, kick-off 12:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ujpest and Zalaegerszegi TE?
Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 Ujpest on 21 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Ujpest and Zalaegerszegi TE?
Ujpest have taken 8 points from their last five (WDWLD), Zalaegerszegi TE 6 from theirs (WWLLL). Most recently Ujpest took a 2-0 win away at Dorogi FC and Zalaegerszegi TE a 5-1 win away at Dunaharaszti MTK.
How many goals are expected in Ujpest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.00 for Ujpest and 2.00 for Zalaegerszegi TE. It rates over 2.5 goals at 87%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 64%, so its call is yes.