Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Zalaegerszegi TE the pick at 52% for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Zalaegerszegi TE face Kisvarda FC on 24 October 2026 at ZTE Arena, Zalaegerszeg. Zalaegerszegi TE are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 11 fixture in NB I is listed as Zalaegerszegi TE - Kisvarda FC. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Zalaegerszegi TE: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 13 conceded in ten matches, 1.3 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -9.
Kisvarda FC: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 15 conceded in twelve matches, 0.92 and 1.25 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Zalaegerszegi TE | Kisvarda FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWW | DDLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 7 | 13 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 10 | 12 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0.92 / 1.25 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.8 | 44.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 25% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Zalaegerszegi TE 42.8 versus Kisvarda FC 44.8, a gap of 2.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Zalaegerszegi TE's way at 56%.
The call
The model tilts to Zalaegerszegi TE at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Zalaegerszegi TE's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Zalaegerszegi TE's way, especially at ZTE Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Zalaegerszegi TE or Kisvarda FC?
Zalaegerszegi TE, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Zalaegerszegi TE, 23% the draw and 25% Kisvarda FC.
When and where is Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC being played?
24 October 2026 at ZTE Arena, Zalaegerszeg, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Zalaegerszegi TE and Kisvarda FC?
Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 Kisvarda FC on 04 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Zalaegerszegi TE and Kisvarda FC?
Zalaegerszegi TE have taken 9 points from their last five (LWLWW), Kisvarda FC 8 from theirs (DDLWW). Most recently Zalaegerszegi TE took a 0-3 defeat away at Debreceni VSC and Kisvarda FC a 1-1 draw at home to Ferencvarosi TC.
How many goals are expected in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kisvarda FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.20 for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.20 for Kisvarda FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.