Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Ferencvarosi TC the pick at 73% for Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Paks travel to Ferencvarosi TC on 1 November 2026 at Groupama Aréna, Budapest. Ferencvarosi TC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 73%. This matchday 12 fixture in NB I is listed as Ferencvarosi TC - Paks. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ferencvarosi TC: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 10 conceded in nine matches, 2.56 and 1.11 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.3 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +8.
Paks: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 15 conceded in six matches, 2.33 and 2.5 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Ferencvarosi TC | Paks |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 4th |
| Goal difference | +8 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWDW | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 16 / 4 | 9 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 6 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.56 / 1.11 | 2.33 / 2.5 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 1.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 50.3 | 55.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 73% | 12% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 2 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Ferencvarosi TC two wins, Paks one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Paks 4-2 Ferencvarosi TC on 26 July 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Ferencvarosi TC 50.3 versus Paks 55.8, a gap of 5.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 5.00, over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Ferencvarosi TC's way at 72%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Ferencvarosi TC at 73%, a gap of 58 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Ferencvarosi TC's way, especially at Groupama Aréna.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ferencvarosi TC or Paks?
Ferencvarosi TC, with an implied win probability of roughly 73%. The full split is 73% Ferencvarosi TC, 15% the draw and 12% Paks.
When and where is Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks being played?
1 November 2026 at Groupama Aréna, Budapest, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ferencvarosi TC and Paks?
Paks 4-2 Ferencvarosi TC on 26 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Ferencvarosi TC and Paks?
Ferencvarosi TC have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWDW), Paks 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently Ferencvarosi TC took a 4-1 win away at Bicskei and Paks a 2-1 win away at Cigand SE.
How many goals are expected in Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks?
The model's combined scoring line is 5.00 — 3.00 for Ferencvarosi TC and 2.00 for Paks. It rates over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.