Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC match summary and prediction — NB I
Our model makes Budapest Honved the pick at 41% for Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Budapest Honved host Kisvarda FC on 31 October 2026 at Bozsik József Stadion, Budapest. Budapest Honved are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 12 fixture in NB I is listed as Budapest Honved - Kisvarda FC. Kick-off is 14:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Budapest Honved: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -4.
Kisvarda FC: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.8 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Budapest Honved | Kisvarda FC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDL | LDDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 9 | 5 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.3 | 44.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 34% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Budapest Honved 37.3 versus Kisvarda FC 44.8, a gap of 7.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.75, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Budapest Honved's way at 52%.
The call
The model edges towards Budapest Honved at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Budapest Honved's way, especially at Bozsik József Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Budapest Honved or Kisvarda FC?
Budapest Honved, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Budapest Honved, 25% the draw and 34% Kisvarda FC.
When and where is Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC being played?
31 October 2026 at Bozsik József Stadion, Budapest, kick-off 14:45 UTC.
Have Budapest Honved and Kisvarda FC met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Budapest Honved and Kisvarda FC?
Budapest Honved have taken 4 points from their last five (LLWDL), Kisvarda FC 3 from theirs (LDDDL). Most recently Budapest Honved took a 1-3 defeat away at Gyirmot SE and Kisvarda FC a 2-4 defeat away at Pécsi MFC.
How many goals are expected in Budapest Honved vs Kisvarda FC?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.75 — 1.75 for Budapest Honved and 1.00 for Kisvarda FC. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.