Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Zalaegerszegi TE the pick at 48% for Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
MTK Budapest travel to Zalaegerszegi TE on 31 October 2026 at ZTE Arena, Zalaegerszeg. Zalaegerszegi TE are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 12 fixture in NB I is listed as Zalaegerszegi TE - MTK Budapest. Kick-off is 16:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Zalaegerszegi TE: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (13 scored and 13 conceded in ten matches, 1.3 and 1.3 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.1 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -9.
MTK Budapest: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 17 conceded in eleven matches, 1.64 and 1.55 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.5 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Zalaegerszegi TE | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 9th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLWL | WLWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 8 | 7 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 10 | 11 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.64 / 1.55 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.7 | 1.36 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 46.1 | 33.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 27% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 2 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Zalaegerszegi TE none wins, MTK Budapest two wins, none draws — an edge to MTK Budapest.
- Most recent meeting: MTK Budapest 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE on 27 July 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in none of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Zalaegerszegi TE 46.1 versus MTK Budapest 33.5, a gap of 12.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Zalaegerszegi TE's way at 53%.
The call
The model tilts to Zalaegerszegi TE at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Zalaegerszegi TE's way, especially at ZTE Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Zalaegerszegi TE or MTK Budapest?
Zalaegerszegi TE, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Zalaegerszegi TE, 26% the draw and 27% MTK Budapest.
When and where is Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest being played?
31 October 2026 at ZTE Arena, Zalaegerszeg, kick-off 16:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest?
MTK Budapest 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE on 27 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest?
Zalaegerszegi TE have taken 7 points from their last five (WDLWL), MTK Budapest 6 from theirs (WLWLL). Most recently Zalaegerszegi TE took a 3-1 win at home to Gyori ETO FC and MTK Budapest a 5-1 win away at Monori Se.
How many goals are expected in Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.40 for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.80 for MTK Budapest. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.