Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Debreceni VSC the pick at 51% for Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Debreceni VSC face Ujpest on 8 November 2026 at Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen. Debreceni VSC are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 13 fixture in NB I is listed as Debreceni VSC - Ujpest. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Debreceni VSC: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 19 conceded in 13 matches, 1.54 and 1.46 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.3 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +4.
Ujpest: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 22 conceded in twelve matches, 0.83 and 1.83 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Debreceni VSC | Ujpest |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 5th |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWD | WWLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 13 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 4 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 13 | 12 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.54 / 1.46 | 0.83 / 1.83 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 59.3 | 49.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 51% | 28% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 1 | 2 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): Debreceni VSC one win, Ujpest two wins, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Ujpest 4-2 Debreceni VSC on 02 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Debreceni VSC 59.3 versus Ujpest 49.1, a gap of 10.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.80, over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans Debreceni VSC's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Debreceni VSC at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Debreceni VSC's way, especially at Nagyerdei Stadion.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Debreceni VSC or Ujpest?
Debreceni VSC, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 51% Debreceni VSC, 21% the draw and 28% Ujpest.
When and where is Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest being played?
8 November 2026 at Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Debreceni VSC and Ujpest?
Ujpest 4-2 Debreceni VSC on 02 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Debreceni VSC and Ujpest?
Debreceni VSC have taken 13 points from their last five (WWWWD), Ujpest 7 from theirs (WWLLD). Most recently Debreceni VSC took a 3-1 win away at Puskas Academy and Ujpest a 2-1 win at home to Nyiregyhaza.
How many goals are expected in Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.80 — 2.40 for Debreceni VSC and 2.40 for Ujpest. It rates over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.