MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes MTK Budapest the pick at 53% for MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
MTK Budapest host Budapest Honved on 7 November 2026. MTK Budapest are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 13 fixture in NB I is listed as MTK Budapest - Budapest Honved. Kick-off is 15:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
MTK Budapest: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded twelve, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -9.
Budapest Honved: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.6 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | MTK Budapest | Budapest Honved |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWL | WLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 12 | 4 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.8 | 47.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 25% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: MTK Budapest 32.8 versus Budapest Honved 47.6, a gap of 14.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans MTK Budapest's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to MTK Budapest at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: MTK Budapest or Budapest Honved?
MTK Budapest, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% MTK Budapest, 22% the draw and 25% Budapest Honved.
When and where is MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 15:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between MTK Budapest and Budapest Honved?
Budapest Honved 3-3 MTK Budapest on 01 August 2026.
What is the recent form of MTK Budapest and Budapest Honved?
MTK Budapest have taken 6 points from their last five (LWLWL), Budapest Honved 7 from theirs (WLLWD). Most recently MTK Budapest took a 0-3 defeat away at Zalaegerszegi TE and Budapest Honved a 1-0 win at home to Kisvarda FC.
How many goals are expected in MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.20 for MTK Budapest and 1.60 for Budapest Honved. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.