Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Paks the pick at 55% for Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Zalaegerszegi TE travel to Paks on 7 November 2026. Paks are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This matchday 13 fixture in NB I is listed as Paks - Zalaegerszegi TE. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Paks: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 17 conceded in seven matches, 2.0 and 2.43 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.2 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +1.
Zalaegerszegi TE: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 12 conceded in seven matches, 1.43 and 1.71 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Paks | Zalaegerszegi TE |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 9th |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLW | WWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 5 | 12 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 7 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 2.0 / 2.43 | 1.43 / 1.71 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.14 | 1.43 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 55.2 | 46.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 23% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 0 | 1 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Paks none wins, Zalaegerszegi TE one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Zalaegerszegi TE 5-2 Paks on 03 August 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in all of them — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: Paks 55.2 versus Zalaegerszegi TE 46.8, a gap of 8.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Paks' way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Paks at 55%, a gap of 32 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Paks or Zalaegerszegi TE?
Paks, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Paks, 22% the draw and 23% Zalaegerszegi TE.
When and where is Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE being played?
7 November 2026, kick-off 12:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Paks and Zalaegerszegi TE?
Zalaegerszegi TE 5-2 Paks on 03 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Paks and Zalaegerszegi TE?
Paks have taken 9 points from their last five (LWWLW), Zalaegerszegi TE 10 from theirs (WWDLW). Most recently Paks took a 0-2 defeat away at Ferencvarosi TC and Zalaegerszegi TE a 3-0 win at home to MTK Budapest.
How many goals are expected in Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.60 for Paks and 1.00 for Zalaegerszegi TE. It rates over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.