Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Rubin the pick at 39% for Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Rubin host Krylia Sovetov on 24 October 2026 at Ak Bars Arena, Kazan. Rubin are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 12 fixture in Premier League is listed as Rubin - Krylia Sovetov. Kick-off is 14:15 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Rubin: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two draws before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (7 scored and 17 conceded in eight matches, 0.88 and 2.12 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.0 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -4.
Krylia Sovetov: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 9 conceded in seven matches, 1.14 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.5 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Rubin | Krylia Sovetov |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDD | LLDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 11 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 7 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.88 / 2.12 | 1.14 / 1.29 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.0 | 44.5 |
| Players unavailable | 8 | 2 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 33% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Rubin 34.0 versus Krylia Sovetov 44.5, a gap of 10.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: Rubin carry the heavier absentee list, eight players to two.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Rubin's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Rubin at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Rubin's way, especially at Ak Bars Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rubin or Krylia Sovetov?
Rubin, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Rubin, 28% the draw and 33% Krylia Sovetov.
When and where is Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov being played?
24 October 2026 at Ak Bars Arena, Kazan, kick-off 14:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Rubin and Krylia Sovetov?
Krylia Sovetov 0-0 Rubin on 22 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Rubin and Krylia Sovetov?
Rubin have taken 2 points from their last five (LLLDD), Krylia Sovetov 5 from theirs (LLDWD). Most recently Rubin took a 0-4 defeat away at Spartak Moscow and Krylia Sovetov a 1-2 defeat at home to Fakel.
How many goals are expected in Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.80 for Rubin and 1.00 for Krylia Sovetov. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists eight players unavailable for Rubin and two for Krylia Sovetov at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.