Baltika vs Akron: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Baltika the pick at 53% for Baltika vs Akron. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Akron travel to Baltika on 1 November 2026 at Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad. Baltika are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This matchday 13 fixture in Premier League is listed as Baltika - Akron. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Baltika: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three draws before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 9 conceded in nine matches, 1.0 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +2.
Akron: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 16 conceded in eight matches, 1.0 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 50.2 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Baltika | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 12th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDWD | LWDDL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 4 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 8 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.11 | 0.88 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.8 | 50.2 |
| Players unavailable | 4 | 14 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 19% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Baltika 38.8 versus Akron 50.2, a gap of 11.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: Akron carry the heavier absentee list, 14 players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Baltika's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Baltika at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Akron's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Baltika's way, especially at Rostec Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Baltika or Akron?
Baltika, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Baltika, 28% the draw and 19% Akron.
When and where is Baltika vs Akron being played?
1 November 2026 at Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Baltika and Akron?
Baltika 0-1 Akron on 27 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Baltika and Akron?
Baltika have taken 6 points from their last five (LDDWD), Akron 5 from theirs (LWDDL). Most recently Baltika took a 2-3 defeat at home to Zenit and Akron a 1-6 defeat away at FC Rostov.
How many goals are expected in Baltika vs Akron?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 1.00 for Baltika and 1.40 for Akron. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists four players unavailable for Baltika and 14 for Akron at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.