Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Rostov — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes FC Rostov the pick at 40% for Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Rostov. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Dinamo Makhachkala host FC Rostov on 1 November 2026 at Anzhi Arena, Makhachkala. FC Rostov are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in Premier League is listed as Dinamo Makhachkala - FC Rostov. Kick-off is 12:15 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Dinamo Makhachkala: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 16 conceded in eight matches, 1.0 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 26.6 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -7.
FC Rostov: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 9 conceded in ten matches, 2.2 and 0.9 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.3 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -4.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Dinamo Makhachkala | FC Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -7 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | WWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 11 | 9 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 8 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 0.9 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.75 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 26.6 | 47.3 |
| Players unavailable | 4 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 40% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 1 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): Dinamo Makhachkala one win, FC Rostov one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Dinamo Makhachkala 1-2 FC Rostov on 02 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — broadly an average game for goals.
- Pre-match form ratings: Dinamo Makhachkala 26.6 versus FC Rostov 47.3, a gap of 20.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans FC Rostov's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards FC Rostov at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. FC Rostov's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dinamo Makhachkala or FC Rostov?
FC Rostov, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 31% Dinamo Makhachkala, 29% the draw and 40% FC Rostov.
When and where is Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Rostov being played?
1 November 2026 at Anzhi Arena, Makhachkala, kick-off 12:15 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Dinamo Makhachkala and FC Rostov?
Dinamo Makhachkala 1-2 FC Rostov on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Dinamo Makhachkala and FC Rostov?
Dinamo Makhachkala have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), FC Rostov 10 from theirs (WWDLW). Most recently Dinamo Makhachkala took a 0-2 defeat away at Krylia Sovetov and FC Rostov a 6-1 win at home to Akron.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Makhachkala vs FC Rostov?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 0.80 for Dinamo Makhachkala and 2.20 for FC Rostov. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists four players unavailable for Dinamo Makhachkala and four for FC Rostov at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.