Dynamo vs Akhmat match summary and prediction — Premier League
Our model makes Dynamo the pick at 62% for Dynamo vs Akhmat. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Dynamo face Akhmat on 31 October 2026 at VTB Arena, Moscow. Dynamo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This matchday 13 fixture in Premier League is listed as Dynamo - Akhmat. Kick-off is 14:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Dynamo: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 10 conceded in nine matches, 1.78 and 1.11 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +7.
Akhmat: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 13 conceded in nine matches, 0.89 and 1.44 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Dynamo | Akhmat |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 14th |
| Goal difference | +7 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWWW | DLLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 7 | 3 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.78 / 1.11 | 0.89 / 1.44 |
| Points per game (2026) | 2.0 | 0.78 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 66.8 | 37.8 |
| Players unavailable | 6 | 6 |
| Model win probability | 62% | 15% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Dynamo 66.8 versus Akhmat 37.8, a gap of 28.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Dynamo's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Dynamo at 62%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Dynamo's way, especially at VTB Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Dynamo or Akhmat?
Dynamo, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 62% Dynamo, 23% the draw and 15% Akhmat.
When and where is Dynamo vs Akhmat being played?
31 October 2026 at VTB Arena, Moscow, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Dynamo and Akhmat?
Dynamo 3-0 Akhmat on 03 September 2026.
What is the recent form of Dynamo and Akhmat?
Dynamo have taken 9 points from their last five (LLWWW), Akhmat 2 from theirs (DLLLD). Most recently Dynamo took a 1-2 defeat away at FC Krasnodar and Akhmat a 0-0 draw away at Fakel.
How many goals are expected in Dynamo vs Akhmat?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.60 for Dynamo and 1.20 for Akhmat. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists six players unavailable for Dynamo and six for Akhmat at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.