Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Zenit the pick at 40% for Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Zenit travel to Krylia Sovetov on 2 November 2026 at Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara. Zenit are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 13 fixture in Premier League is listed as Krylia Sovetov - Zenit. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Krylia Sovetov: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 9 conceded in nine matches, 1.33 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.7 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Zenit: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 9 conceded in nine matches, 2.11 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 78.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +14.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Krylia Sovetov | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 1st |
| Goal difference | 0 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWLLD | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 13 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 9 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.0 | 2.11 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 51.7 | 78.5 |
| Players unavailable | 2 | 2 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Krylia Sovetov 51.7 versus Zenit 78.5, a gap of 26.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Zenit's way at 53%.
The call
The model edges towards Zenit at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Krylia Sovetov or Zenit?
Zenit, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 34% Krylia Sovetov, 26% the draw and 40% Zenit.
When and where is Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit being played?
2 November 2026 at Solidarnost Samara Arena, Samara, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Krylia Sovetov and Zenit?
Zenit 2-1 Krylia Sovetov on 04 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Krylia Sovetov and Zenit?
Krylia Sovetov have taken 7 points from their last five (WWLLD), Zenit 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Krylia Sovetov took a 2-0 win at home to Dinamo Makhachkala and Zenit a 3-2 win away at Baltika.
How many goals are expected in Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 1.80 for Krylia Sovetov and 2.20 for Zenit. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists two players unavailable for Krylia Sovetov and two for Zenit at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.