Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Baltika the pick at 49% for Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Baltika face Dinamo Makhachkala on 8 November 2026 at Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad. Baltika are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 14 fixture in Premier League is listed as Baltika - Dinamo Makhachkala. Kick-off is 17:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Baltika: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 10 conceded in ten matches, 1.1 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +3.
Dinamo Makhachkala: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one draw and one defeat before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 19 conceded in nine matches, 0.89 and 2.11 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Baltika | Dinamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 11th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLDDW | LLLDL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 2 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 10 | 9 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.1 / 1.0 | 0.89 / 2.11 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.3 | 0.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.8 | 25.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 21% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Baltika 45.8 versus Dinamo Makhachkala 25.8, a gap of 19.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Baltika's way at 57%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Baltika at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Baltika's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Baltika's way, especially at Rostec Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Baltika or Dinamo Makhachkala?
Baltika, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Baltika, 31% the draw and 21% Dinamo Makhachkala.
When and where is Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala being played?
8 November 2026 at Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Baltika and Dinamo Makhachkala?
Dinamo Makhachkala 2-2 Baltika on 05 April 2026.
What is the recent form of Baltika and Dinamo Makhachkala?
Baltika have taken 8 points from their last five (WLDDW), Dinamo Makhachkala 1 from theirs (LLLDL). Most recently Baltika took a 2-1 win at home to Akron and Dinamo Makhachkala a 0-3 defeat at home to FC Rostov.
How many goals are expected in Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.40 for Baltika and 0.80 for Dinamo Makhachkala. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is yes.