Fakel vs Dynamo — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Dynamo the pick at 51% for Fakel vs Dynamo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Fakel face Dynamo on 7 November 2026 at Fakel Stadium, Voronezh. Dynamo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 51%. This matchday 14 fixture in Premier League is listed as Fakel - Dynamo. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Fakel: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (8 scored and 13 conceded in ten matches, 0.8 and 1.3 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.8 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -13.
Dynamo: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 10 conceded in ten matches, 1.8 and 1.0 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +9.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Fakel | Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -13 | +9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLWW | WLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 3 | 9 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 10 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.8 | 67.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 23% | 51% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Fakel 31.8 versus Dynamo 67.2, a gap of 35.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: 14 places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Dynamo's way at 55%.
The call
The model tilts to Dynamo at 51%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Dynamo's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Fakel or Dynamo?
Dynamo, with an implied win probability of roughly 51%. The full split is 23% Fakel, 26% the draw and 51% Dynamo.
When and where is Fakel vs Dynamo being played?
7 November 2026 at Fakel Stadium, Voronezh, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Fakel and Dynamo?
Fakel 0-1 Dynamo on 05 August 2026.
What is the recent form of Fakel and Dynamo?
Fakel have taken 7 points from their last five (LDLWW), Dynamo 9 from theirs (WLLWW). Most recently Fakel took a 0-1 defeat away at Rubin and Dynamo a 2-0 win at home to Akhmat.
How many goals are expected in Fakel vs Dynamo?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.80 for Fakel and 1.60 for Dynamo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.