TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz

TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz match summary and prediction — Bundesliga

Our model makes a draw the pick at 47% for TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.

Match summary

TSV Hartberg face Lask Linz on 20 September 2026 at Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 47%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 7 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as TSV Hartberg - Lask Linz. Kick-off is 12:30 UTC.

Recent form and trajectory

TSV Hartberg: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (14 scored and 18 conceded in 14 matches, 1.0 and 1.29 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.6 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -3.

Lask Linz: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three wins before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 14 conceded in 13 matches, 2.23 and 1.08 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.0 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +12.

Comparison data

Key match insights

• Head-to-head balance (last 2): TSV Hartberg none wins, Lask Linz one win, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
• Most recent meeting: TSV Hartberg 1-5 Lask Linz on 26 April 2026.
• Head-to-head goals: 3.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has tended to open up.
• Pre-match form ratings: TSV Hartberg 47.6 versus Lask Linz 68.0, a gap of 20.4, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
• Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
• Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 0.93, over 2.5 goals at 10% and both teams to score at 38%.
• First goal: Leans TSV Hartberg's way at 63%.

The call

The model edges towards a draw at 47%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. TSV Hartberg's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.

Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured to win the match: TSV Hartberg or Lask Linz?

Neither side. Our model splits it 37% TSV Hartberg, 47% the draw and 16% Lask Linz, with the draw carrying the highest probability.

When and where is TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz being played?

20 September 2026 at Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg, kick-off 12:30 UTC.

What was the result of the last match between TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz?

TSV Hartberg 1-5 Lask Linz on 26 April 2026.

What is the recent form of TSV Hartberg and Lask Linz?

TSV Hartberg have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWWL), Lask Linz 9 from theirs (LLWWW). Most recently TSV Hartberg took a 2-2 draw away at WSG Wattens and Lask Linz a 1-2 defeat away at Sturm Graz.

How many goals are expected in TSV Hartberg vs Lask Linz?

The model's combined scoring line is 0.93 — 0.33 for TSV Hartberg and 0.60 for Lask Linz. It rates over 2.5 goals at 10%.

Will both teams score?

The model rates both teams to score at 38%, so its call is no.