Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau match summary and prediction — Bundesliga
Our model makes Rapid Vienna the pick at 70% for Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Rapid Vienna host Austria Lustenau on 24 October 2026 at Allianz Stadion, Vienna. Rapid Vienna are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 70%. This matchday 10 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as Rapid Vienna - Austria Lustenau. Kick-off is 17:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Rapid Vienna: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 16 and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 69.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +18.
Austria Lustenau: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two wins before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored eight and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.0 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Rapid Vienna | Austria Lustenau |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 9th |
| Goal difference | +18 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWW | LLLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 15 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 16 / 3 | 8 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 69.5 | 33.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 70% | 11% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Rapid Vienna 69.5 versus Austria Lustenau 33.0, a gap of 36.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Rapid Vienna's way at 73%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Rapid Vienna at 70%, a gap of 51 percentage points to the next outcome. Rapid Vienna's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Rapid Vienna's way, especially at Allianz Stadion.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rapid Vienna or Austria Lustenau?
Rapid Vienna, with an implied win probability of roughly 70%. The full split is 70% Rapid Vienna, 19% the draw and 11% Austria Lustenau.
When and where is Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau being played?
24 October 2026 at Allianz Stadion, Vienna, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Have Rapid Vienna and Austria Lustenau met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Rapid Vienna and Austria Lustenau?
Rapid Vienna have taken 15 points from their last five (WWWWW), Austria Lustenau 6 from theirs (LLLWW). Most recently Rapid Vienna took a 3-1 win at home to TSV Hartberg and Austria Lustenau a 0-4 defeat at home to Lask Linz.
How many goals are expected in Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Rapid Vienna and 1.00 for Austria Lustenau. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.