WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes WSG Wattens the pick at 52% for WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
WSG Wattens host Grazer AK on 24 October 2026 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck. WSG Wattens are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 10 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as WSG Wattens - Grazer AK. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
WSG Wattens: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (12 scored and 23 conceded in 13 matches, 0.92 and 1.77 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 47.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -2.
Grazer AK: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 14 conceded in 13 matches, 1.69 and 1.08 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -15.
Side by side
| Statistic | WSG Wattens | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWWL | LDWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 5 | 10 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 13 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 0.92 / 1.77 | 1.69 / 1.08 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.15 | 1.38 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 47.8 | 41.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 25% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 3) | 1 | 2 |
What stands out
- Head-to-head balance (last 3): WSG Wattens one win, Grazer AK two wins, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: Grazer AK 4-0 WSG Wattens on 02 May 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 4.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the three — a fixture that has tended to open up.
- Pre-match form ratings: WSG Wattens 47.8 versus Grazer AK 41.2, a gap of 6.6, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans WSG Wattens' way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to WSG Wattens at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts WSG Wattens's way, especially at Tivoli Stadion Tirol.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: WSG Wattens or Grazer AK?
WSG Wattens, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% WSG Wattens, 24% the draw and 25% Grazer AK.
When and where is WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK being played?
24 October 2026 at Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between WSG Wattens and Grazer AK?
Grazer AK 4-0 WSG Wattens on 02 May 2026.
What is the recent form of WSG Wattens and Grazer AK?
WSG Wattens have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWWL), Grazer AK 8 from theirs (LDWDW). Most recently WSG Wattens took a 2-0 win away at Wolfsberger AC and Grazer AK a 1-6 defeat away at Sturm Graz.
How many goals are expected in WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for WSG Wattens and 1.60 for Grazer AK. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.