Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Red Bull Salzburg the pick at 76% for Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Red Bull Salzburg host Austria Lustenau on 1 November 2026 at Red Bull Arena, Salzburg. Red Bull Salzburg are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 76%. This matchday 11 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Lustenau. Kick-off is 13:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Red Bull Salzburg: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +19.
Austria Lustenau: they come in on the back of a win, following four defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded 16, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.0 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -12.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Red Bull Salzburg | Austria Lustenau |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 10th |
| Goal difference | +19 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDWL | WLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 9 | 7 / 16 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 66.4 | 32.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 76% | 8% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Red Bull Salzburg 66.4 versus Austria Lustenau 32.0, a gap of 34.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Red Bull Salzburg's way at 76%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Red Bull Salzburg at 76%, a gap of 61 percentage points to the next outcome. Red Bull Salzburg's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Red Bull Salzburg's way, especially at Red Bull Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Red Bull Salzburg or Austria Lustenau?
Red Bull Salzburg, with an implied win probability of roughly 76%. The full split is 76% Red Bull Salzburg, 16% the draw and 8% Austria Lustenau.
When and where is Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau being played?
1 November 2026 at Red Bull Arena, Salzburg, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
Have Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Lustenau met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Lustenau?
Red Bull Salzburg have taken 10 points from their last five (WWDWL), Austria Lustenau 3 from theirs (WLLLL). Most recently Red Bull Salzburg took a 3-2 win away at Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Austria Lustenau a 3-2 win at home to Sturm Graz.
How many goals are expected in Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.80 for Red Bull Salzburg and 1.00 for Austria Lustenau. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.