Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz match summary and prediction — Bundesliga
Our model makes Sturm Graz the pick at 57% for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Wolfsberger AC face Sturm Graz on 1 November 2026 at Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsburg. Sturm Graz are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This matchday 11 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as Wolfsberger AC - Sturm Graz. Kick-off is 13:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Wolfsberger AC: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (5 scored and 10 conceded in six matches, 0.83 and 1.67 per game) underlines issues at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.0 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -12.
Sturm Graz: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 8 conceded in ten matches, 2.0 and 0.8 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +6.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Wolfsberger AC | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -12 | +6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLW | LDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 8 | 11 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 6 | 10 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.83 / 1.67 | 2.0 / 0.8 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.67 | 2.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 22.0 | 59.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 19% | 57% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Wolfsberger AC 22.0 versus Sturm Graz 59.8, a gap of 37.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eight places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Sturm Graz's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Sturm Graz at 57%, a gap of 33 percentage points to the next outcome. Sturm Graz's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Wolfsberger AC or Sturm Graz?
Sturm Graz, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 19% Wolfsberger AC, 24% the draw and 57% Sturm Graz.
When and where is Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz being played?
1 November 2026 at Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsburg, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
Have Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz?
Wolfsberger AC have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLLW), Sturm Graz 7 from theirs (LDWWL). Most recently Wolfsberger AC took a 0-1 defeat away at WSPG Wels and Sturm Graz a 2-3 defeat away at Austria Lustenau.
How many goals are expected in Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 0.40 for Wolfsberger AC and 2.20 for Sturm Graz. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.