Ried vs Lask Linz match summary and prediction — Bundesliga
Our model makes Lask Linz the pick at 49% for Ried vs Lask Linz. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Lask Linz travel to Ried on 7 November 2026 at Innviertel Arena, Ried. Lask Linz are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 12 fixture in Bundesliga is listed as Ried - Lask Linz. Kick-off is 18:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Ried: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 21 conceded in 16 matches, 1.06 and 1.31 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 61.9 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +1.
Lask Linz: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 14 conceded in 13 matches, 2.23 and 1.08 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 51.6 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +13.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Ried | Lask Linz |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +1 | +13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDWW | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 11 | 15 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 16 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.06 / 1.31 | 2.23 / 1.08 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.31 | 2.15 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 61.9 | 51.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 49% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Ried 61.9 versus Lask Linz 51.6, a gap of 10.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Lask Linz's way at 52%.
The call
The model tilts to Lask Linz at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Lask Linz's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ried or Lask Linz?
Lask Linz, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 30% Ried, 22% the draw and 49% Lask Linz.
When and where is Ried vs Lask Linz being played?
7 November 2026 at Innviertel Arena, Ried, kick-off 18:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Ried and Lask Linz?
Ried 1-1 Lask Linz on 14 February 2026.
What is the recent form of Ried and Lask Linz?
Ried have taken 8 points from their last five (DLDWW), Lask Linz 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently Ried took a 1-1 draw away at SCR Altach and Lask Linz a 2-1 win at home to WSG Wattens.
How many goals are expected in Ried vs Lask Linz?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.20 for Ried and 1.40 for Lask Linz. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.