Preston vs Lincoln: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Lincoln the pick at 61% for Preston vs Lincoln. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Lincoln travel to Preston on 12 September 2026 at Deepdale, Preston. Lincoln are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 61%. This matchday 7 fixture in Championship is listed as Preston - Lincoln. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Preston: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (51 scored and 59 conceded in 43 matches, 1.19 and 1.37 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.5 out of 100, and they sit 24th on a goal difference of -6.
Lincoln: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (50 scored and 15 conceded in 22 matches, 2.27 and 0.68 per game) points to a side doing the job at both ends. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.2 out of 100, and they sit 19th on a goal difference of -2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Preston | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 24th | 19th |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLLL | LDDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 11 | 6 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 43 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.19 / 1.37 | 2.27 / 0.68 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.3 | 2.64 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.5 | 41.2 |
| Players unavailable | 8 | 4 |
| Model win probability | 7% | 61% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Preston 33.5 versus Lincoln 41.2, a gap of 7.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: Preston carry the heavier absentee list, eight players to four.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.60, over 2.5 goals at 99% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Lincoln's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Lincoln at 61%, a gap of 29 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Preston or Lincoln?
Lincoln, with an implied win probability of roughly 61%. The full split is 7% Preston, 32% the draw and 61% Lincoln.
When and where is Preston vs Lincoln being played?
12 September 2026 at Deepdale, Preston, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Preston and Lincoln met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Preston and Lincoln?
Preston have taken 3 points from their last five (LWLLL), Lincoln 8 from theirs (LDDWW). Most recently Preston took a 1-2 defeat away at Watford and Lincoln a 0-4 defeat away at Bournemouth.
How many goals are expected in Preston vs Lincoln?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.60 — 0.60 for Preston and 4.00 for Lincoln. It rates over 2.5 goals at 99%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.
Who is unavailable?
Our injury feed lists eight players unavailable for Preston and four for Lincoln at the time of writing. Confirmed line-ups land about an hour before kick-off.